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Home > Waits > Disneyland Resort > California Adventure > Crowd Calendars

California Adventure Crowd Calendar

Based on Predictive Modeling
California Adventure Crowd Calendar

Below is the 2025 predictive crowd calendar for California Adventure. The general idea is is that higher wait times equals a busier park. This calendar is a predictive model of future wait times developed based on past data collections and factors derived by the Thrill Data team. Use this information to help guide decisions on time periods when to visit the park. The number shown in each calendar day box is the predicted average wait time for that date. Click on any date to see the specific wait times for the most recent occurence of that date.

Keep in mind that lower wait times do not indicate an empty park. It means that wait times are lower than other points in the year, but they may still be significant.

Below is a Predictive crowd calendar based on training models. Click the A above for a past-data Average crowd calendar.

2025 California Adventure Predictive Crowd Calendar
Lowest
Lower
Average
Higher
Highest

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
Jan 01
38
Jan 02
35
Jan 03
39
Jan 04
38
Jan 05
30
Jan 06
32
Jan 07
32
Jan 08
30
Jan 09
31
Jan 10
20
Jan 11
32
Jan 12
30
Jan 13
28
Jan 14
26
Jan 15
30
Jan 16
31
Jan 17
23
Jan 18
29
Jan 19
33
Jan 20
30
Jan 21
27
Jan 22
24
Jan 23
28
Jan 24
20
Jan 25
26
Jan 26
22
Jan 27
25
Jan 28
32
Jan 29
27
Jan 30
27
Jan 31
24
Feb 01
26
Feb 02
26
Feb 03
23
Feb 04
27
Feb 05
25
Feb 06
24
Feb 07
29
Feb 08
32
Feb 09
32
Feb 10
31
Feb 11
28
Feb 12
21
Feb 13
19
Feb 14
32
Feb 15
38
Feb 16
43
Feb 17
43
Feb 18
40
Feb 19
44
Feb 20
40
Feb 21
36
Feb 22
35
Feb 23
40
Feb 24
28
Feb 25
33
Feb 26
31
Feb 27
25
Feb 28
27
Mar 01
36
Mar 02
35
Mar 03
29
Mar 04
29
Mar 05
29
Mar 06
23
Mar 07
32
Mar 08
32
Mar 09
36
Mar 10
31
Mar 11
39
Mar 12
41
Mar 13
38
Mar 14
39
Mar 15
36
Mar 16
39
Mar 17
37
Mar 18
36
Mar 19
36
Mar 20
33
Mar 21
32
Mar 22
33
Mar 23
32
Mar 24
32
Mar 25
31
Mar 26
35
Mar 27
36
Mar 28
37
Mar 29
38
Mar 30
31
Mar 31
31
Apr 01
31
Apr 02
32
Apr 03
31
Apr 04
40
Apr 05
40
Apr 06
37
Apr 07
33
Apr 08
32
Apr 09
33
Apr 10
33
Apr 11
32
Apr 12
34
Apr 13
36
Apr 14
41
Apr 15
42
Apr 16
41
Apr 17
40
Apr 18
41
Apr 19
32
Apr 20
32
Apr 21
35
Apr 22
28
Apr 23
33
Apr 24
28
Apr 25
28
Apr 26
30
Apr 27
33
Apr 28
32
Apr 29
29
Apr 30
31
May 01
27
May 02
30
May 03
29
May 04
26
May 05
29
May 06
27
May 07
27
May 08
27
May 09
27
May 10
31
May 11
29
May 12
28
May 13
26
May 14
31
May 15
27
May 16
29
May 17
30
May 18
30
May 19
30
May 20
30
May 21
35
May 22
32
May 23
28
May 24
31
May 25
35
May 26
31
May 27
29
May 28
34
May 29
36
May 30
31
May 31
28
Jun 01
30
Jun 02
28
Jun 03
36
Jun 04
29
Jun 05
35
Jun 06
35
Jun 07
35
Jun 08
33
Jun 09
32
Jun 10
36
Jun 11
35
Jun 12
30
Jun 13
34
Jun 14
32
Jun 15
29
Jun 16
34
Jun 17
33
Jun 18
30
Jun 19
29
Jun 20
34
Jun 21
33
Jun 22
33
Jun 23
28
Jun 24
33
Jun 25
32
Jun 26
28
Jun 27
33
Jun 28
32
Jun 29
32
Jun 30
26
Jul 01
28
Jul 02
33
Jul 03
36
Jul 04
31
Jul 05
32
Jul 06
32
Jul 07
30
Jul 08
27
Jul 09
33
Jul 10
28
Jul 11
32
Jul 12
35
Jul 13
29
Jul 14
30
Jul 15
28
Jul 16
31
Jul 17
29
Jul 18
34
Jul 19
32
Jul 20
30
Jul 21
33
Jul 22
34
Jul 23
35
Jul 24
32
Jul 25
31
Jul 26
34
Jul 27
33
Jul 28
31
Jul 29
31
Jul 30
30
Jul 31
29
Aug 01
30
Aug 02
31
Aug 03
33
Aug 04
30
Aug 05
30
Aug 06
31
Aug 07
28
Aug 08
31
Aug 09
28
Aug 10
25
Aug 11
29
Aug 12
29
Aug 13
27
Aug 14
25
Aug 15
27
Aug 16
26
Aug 17
22
Aug 18
23
Aug 19
29
Aug 20
21
Aug 21
32
Aug 22
28
Aug 23
25
Aug 24
29
Aug 25
20
Aug 26
26
Aug 27
24
Aug 28
25
Aug 29
21
Aug 30
26
Aug 31
28
Sep 01
25
Sep 02
23
Sep 03
25
Sep 04
27
Sep 05
19
Sep 06
24
Sep 07
21
Sep 08
20
Sep 09
22
Sep 10
21
Sep 11
27
Sep 12
23
Sep 13
29
Sep 14
26
Sep 15
24
Sep 16
34
Sep 17
29
Sep 18
33
Sep 19
27
Sep 20
29
Sep 21
28
Sep 22
28
Sep 23
30
Sep 24
27
Sep 25
32
Sep 26
25
Sep 27
29
Sep 28
29
Sep 29
26
Sep 30
29
Oct 01
24
Oct 02
28
Oct 03
27
Oct 04
30
Oct 05
27
Oct 06
29
Oct 07
36
Oct 08
34
Oct 09
34
Oct 10
30
Oct 11
35
Oct 12
36
Oct 13
36
Oct 14
36
Oct 15
37
Oct 16
30
Oct 17
26
Oct 18
30
Oct 19
26
Oct 20
27
Oct 21
33
Oct 22
29
Oct 23
28
Oct 24
25
Oct 25
28
Oct 26
26
Oct 27
26
Oct 28
31
Oct 29
26
Oct 30
25
Oct 31
20
Nov 01
29
Nov 02
27
Nov 03
22
Nov 04
28
Nov 05
26
Nov 06
29
Nov 07
24
Nov 08
21
Nov 09
30
Nov 10
34
Nov 11
35
Nov 12
30
Nov 13
21
Nov 14
24
Nov 15
29
Nov 16
29
Nov 17
24
Nov 18
26
Nov 19
32
Nov 20
31
Nov 21
27
Nov 22
28
Nov 23
26
Nov 24
38
Nov 25
40
Nov 26
33
Nov 27
32
Nov 28
36
Nov 29
33
Nov 30
28
Dec 01
25
Dec 02
25
Dec 03
28
Dec 04
23
Dec 05
24
Dec 06
24
Dec 07
24
Dec 08
25
Dec 09
30
Dec 10
31
Dec 11
25
Dec 12
25
Dec 13
28
Dec 14
25
Dec 15
25
Dec 16
23
Dec 17
25
Dec 18
24
Dec 19
25
Dec 20
30
Dec 21
34
Dec 22
37
Dec 23
33
Dec 24
37
Dec 25
37
Dec 26
37
Dec 27
44
Dec 28
46
Dec 29
43
Dec 30
47
Dec 31
42
Calendar Version: 2025-03-13_10_21_AM / Model Type: V
Like weather forecasts, there are different crowd calendar modeling techniques, and predictions are updated as new data becomes available. Most updates are to account for upcoming park hours, the weather forecast, and the attraction refurbishment schedule. Click any of the links below to see the California Adventure crowd calendar results for a different or older model. Each model tracks its own accuracy and most models are identified by the time they were created. Click the check mark in the compare column to compare the currently viewed model (2025-03-13_10_21_AM Type V ) to the respective model.
California Adventure Models
Model ID Model Type Average Error Compare
A
N/A
B
3.8 minutes
C
3.9 minutes
D
3.7 minutes
V
3.4 minutes
C
3.7 minutes
D
3.5 minutes
B
3.4 minutes
V
3.3 minutes
D
3.4 minutes
B
3.3 minutes
C
3.5 minutes
Training Error
3.7
Measured Error
6.2
The predicted wait times are expected to fall within +/- 3.7 minutes of the value shown on the calendar based on the model's training test data set. Larger differences can occur, particularly for dates farther in the future. The current calendar error is +/- 6.2 minutes based on predictions compared to measured wait times.
The table below compares the predicted wait times with the actual measured wait times. It shows how accurate or not the model was each day.
Date Prediction Actual Delta Comment
2025-03-13
38 min
26 min
-12 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-14
39 min
35 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-15
36 min
44 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-16
39 min
45 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-17
37 min
38 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-18
36 min
43 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-19
36 min
51 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-20
33 min
40 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-21
32 min
33 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-22
33 min
37 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-23
32 min
36 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-24
32 min
35 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-25
31 min
39 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-26
35 min
40 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-27
36 min
33 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-28
37 min
30 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-29
38 min
41 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-30
31 min
35 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-31
31 min
33 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-01
31 min
38 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-02
32 min
39 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-03
31 min
41 min
10 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-04
40 min
29 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-05
40 min
34 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-06
37 min
36 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-07
33 min
25 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-08
32 min
31 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-09
33 min
25 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-10
33 min
30 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-11
32 min
28 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-12
34 min
30 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-13
36 min
35 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-14
41 min
28 min
-13 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-15
42 min
30 min
-12 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-16
41 min
34 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-17
40 min
30 min
-10 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-18
41 min
34 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-19
32 min
40 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-20
32 min
35 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-21
35 min
24 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-22
28 min
32 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-23
33 min
25 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-24
28 min
38 min
10 min
Under-Predicted
Note the current date actual data will flucuate until after 7 PM local time.
California Adventure Accuracy Summary
Statistic Value
Correct Predictions
0
Under-Predictions
22
Over-Predictions
21
Average Error
6.2 minutes
Calendar Version: 2025-03-13_10_21_AM / Model Type: V
Statistic Value
Average Daily Wait Time
30 minutes
Minimum Daily Wait Time
19 minutes
Maximum Daily Wait Time
47 minutes
Busiest Week
2025-12-29
Least Busy Week
2025-09-01
Number of Average Days
127
Number of Lower Wait Days
38
Number of Lowest Wait Days
2
Number of Higher Wait Days
42
Number of Highest Wait Days
13
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