Thrill DataTHRILL DATA
Agendas Alerts Blog Crowd Calendars Forum Gallery Halloween Holidays Trip Reports Wait Mania Weather
Login | Sign Up!
Remove Ads with Thrill Data Plus
Home > Waits > Six Flags > Discovery Kingdom > Crowd Calendars

Six Flags Discovery Kingdom Crowd Calendar

Based on Predictive Modeling
Six Flags Discovery Kingdom Crowd Calendar

Below is the 2025 predictive crowd calendar for Discovery Kingdom. The general idea is is that higher wait times equals a busier park. This calendar is a predictive model of future wait times developed based on past data collections and factors derived by the Thrill Data team. Use this information to help guide decisions on time periods when to visit the park. The number shown in each calendar day box is the predicted average wait time for that date. Click on any date to see the specific wait times for the most recent occurence of that date.

Keep in mind that lower wait times do not indicate an empty park. It means that wait times are lower than other points in the year, but they may still be significant.

Below is a Predictive crowd calendar based on training models. Click the A above for a past-data Average crowd calendar.

2025 Discovery Kingdom Predictive Crowd Calendar
Lowest
Lower
Average
Higher
Highest

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
Jan 01
13
Jan 02
13
Jan 03
7
Jan 04
12
Jan 05
13
Jan 06
7
Jan 07
Jan 08
9
Jan 09
10
Jan 10
Jan 11
14
Jan 12
14
Jan 13
Jan 14
Jan 15
8
Jan 16
10
Jan 17
12
Jan 18
15
Jan 19
15
Jan 20
12
Jan 21
10
Jan 22
11
Jan 23
12
Jan 24
Jan 25
15
Jan 26
15
Jan 27
Jan 28
7
Jan 29
9
Jan 30
9
Jan 31
Feb 01
8
Feb 02
9
Feb 03
Feb 04
7
Feb 05
9
Feb 06
9
Feb 07
Feb 08
10
Feb 09
8
Feb 10
Feb 11
8
Feb 12
9
Feb 13
8
Feb 14
Feb 15
8
Feb 16
8
Feb 17
18
Feb 18
8
Feb 19
22
Feb 20
19
Feb 21
22
Feb 22
22
Feb 23
22
Feb 24
Feb 25
9
Feb 26
24
Feb 27
15
Feb 28
Mar 01
18
Mar 02
Mar 03
Mar 04
8
Mar 05
8
Mar 06
12
Mar 07
11
Mar 08
11
Mar 09
Mar 10
Mar 11
8
Mar 12
10
Mar 13
10
Mar 14
Mar 15
Mar 16
Mar 17
Mar 18
14
Mar 19
8
Mar 20
28
Mar 21
Mar 22
Mar 23
Mar 24
Mar 25
33
Mar 26
24
Mar 27
13
Mar 28
Mar 29
Mar 30
14
Mar 31
19
Apr 01
19
Apr 02
10
Apr 03
18
Apr 04
13
Apr 05
14
Apr 06
23
Apr 07
17
Apr 08
9
Apr 09
20
Apr 10
16
Apr 11
16
Apr 12
18
Apr 13
8
Apr 14
25
Apr 15
24
Apr 16
8
Apr 17
19
Apr 18
19
Apr 19
20
Apr 20
27
Apr 21
23
Apr 22
27
Apr 23
15
Apr 24
14
Apr 25
14
Apr 26
15
Apr 27
30
Apr 28
27
Apr 29
25
Apr 30
14
May 01
10
May 02
9
May 03
21
May 04
7
May 05
24
May 06
21
May 07
10
May 08
10
May 09
35
May 10
23
May 11
19
May 12
10
May 13
24
May 14
14
May 15
13
May 16
6
May 17
24
May 18
28
May 19
21
May 20
28
May 21
10
May 22
7
May 23
18
May 24
23
May 25
23
May 26
15
May 27
20
May 28
23
May 29
16
May 30
15
May 31
23
Jun 01
26
Jun 02
14
Jun 03
24
Jun 04
19
Jun 05
16
Jun 06
14
Jun 07
13
Jun 08
9
Jun 09
16
Jun 10
15
Jun 11
17
Jun 12
10
Jun 13
14
Jun 14
13
Jun 15
14
Jun 16
15
Jun 17
10
Jun 18
14
Jun 19
24
Jun 20
8
Jun 21
13
Jun 22
14
Jun 23
9
Jun 24
24
Jun 25
16
Jun 26
8
Jun 27
9
Jun 28
18
Jun 29
19
Jun 30
14
Jul 01
13
Jul 02
14
Jul 03
14
Jul 04
13
Jul 05
16
Jul 06
10
Jul 07
11
Jul 08
8
Jul 09
19
Jul 10
9
Jul 11
8
Jul 12
18
Jul 13
29
Jul 14
9
Jul 15
9
Jul 16
17
Jul 17
8
Jul 18
8
Jul 19
13
Jul 20
9
Jul 21
9
Jul 22
13
Jul 23
21
Jul 24
14
Jul 25
9
Jul 26
14
Jul 27
13
Jul 28
15
Jul 29
22
Jul 30
19
Jul 31
14
Aug 01
9
Aug 02
15
Aug 03
14
Aug 04
15
Aug 05
15
Aug 06
19
Aug 07
14
Aug 08
12
Aug 09
15
Aug 10
9
Aug 11
13
Aug 12
19
Aug 13
13
Aug 14
9
Aug 15
9
Aug 16
10
Aug 17
26
Aug 18
12
Aug 19
15
Aug 20
18
Aug 21
15
Aug 22
26
Aug 23
Aug 24
33
Aug 25
13
Aug 26
10
Aug 27
10
Aug 28
18
Aug 29
26
Aug 30
26
Aug 31
22
Sep 01
24
Sep 02
22
Sep 03
25
Sep 04
23
Sep 05
21
Sep 06
20
Sep 07
17
Sep 08
15
Sep 09
18
Sep 10
14
Sep 11
13
Sep 12
9
Sep 13
Sep 14
27
Sep 15
15
Sep 16
9
Sep 17
17
Sep 18
7
Sep 19
7
Sep 20
Sep 21
26
Sep 22
23
Sep 23
14
Sep 24
11
Sep 25
7
Sep 26
7
Sep 27
8
Sep 28
22
Sep 29
26
Sep 30
14
Oct 01
15
Oct 02
19
Oct 03
20
Oct 04
10
Oct 05
29
Oct 06
13
Oct 07
31
Oct 08
24
Oct 09
20
Oct 10
8
Oct 11
9
Oct 12
15
Oct 13
10
Oct 14
9
Oct 15
23
Oct 16
10
Oct 17
8
Oct 18
10
Oct 19
30
Oct 20
21
Oct 21
26
Oct 22
22
Oct 23
10
Oct 24
Oct 25
34
Oct 26
23
Oct 27
18
Oct 28
14
Oct 29
18
Oct 30
22
Oct 31
13
Nov 01
22
Nov 02
18
Nov 03
12
Nov 04
Nov 05
8
Nov 06
7
Nov 07
Nov 08
Nov 09
23
Nov 10
21
Nov 11
12
Nov 12
14
Nov 13
8
Nov 14
Nov 15
Nov 16
17
Nov 17
12
Nov 18
7
Nov 19
8
Nov 20
8
Nov 21
9
Nov 22
8
Nov 23
7
Nov 24
10
Nov 25
10
Nov 26
8
Nov 27
8
Nov 28
13
Nov 29
17
Nov 30
14
Dec 01
Dec 02
12
Dec 03
8
Dec 04
8
Dec 05
8
Dec 06
Dec 07
Dec 08
8
Dec 09
14
Dec 10
10
Dec 11
8
Dec 12
Dec 13
Dec 14
8
Dec 15
8
Dec 16
13
Dec 17
7
Dec 18
12
Dec 19
17
Dec 20
10
Dec 21
8
Dec 22
10
Dec 23
10
Dec 24
8
Dec 25
12
Dec 26
12
Dec 27
10
Dec 28
20
Dec 29
7
Dec 30
26
Dec 31
14
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_05_28_PM / Model Type: V
Like weather forecasts, there are different crowd calendar modeling techniques, and predictions are updated as new data becomes available. Most updates are to account for upcoming park hours, the weather forecast, and the attraction refurbishment schedule. Click any of the links below to see the Discovery Kingdom crowd calendar results for a different or older model. Each model tracks its own accuracy and most models are identified by the time they were created. Click the check mark in the compare column to compare the currently viewed model (2024-12-12_05_28_PM Type V ) to the respective model.
Discovery Kingdom Models
Model ID Model Type Average Error Compare
A
N/A
D
3.5 minutes
C
3.5 minutes
B
3.6 minutes
Training Error
3.5
Measured Error
7.6
The predicted wait times are expected to fall within +/- 3.5 minutes of the value shown on the calendar based on the model's training test data set. Larger differences can occur, particularly for dates farther in the future. The current calendar error is +/- 7.6 minutes based on predictions compared to measured wait times.
The table below compares the predicted wait times with the actual measured wait times. It shows how accurate or not the model was each day.
Date Prediction Actual Delta Comment
2025-01-01
13 min
11 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-02
13 min
17 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-03
7 min
6 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-04
12 min
19 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-05
13 min
12 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-11
14 min
10 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-12
14 min
8 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-17
12 min
5 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-18
15 min
10 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-19
15 min
9 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-20
12 min
12 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-01-25
15 min
9 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-26
15 min
9 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-31
8 min
8 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-02-08
10 min
10 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-02-09
8 min
7 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-15
8 min
11 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-16
8 min
11 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-17
18 min
15 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-22
22 min
20 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-23
22 min
11 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-01
18 min
16 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-02
15 min
8 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-08
11 min
18 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-09
15 min
11 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-15
11 min
13 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-16
23 min
13 min
-10 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-17
15 min
23 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-18
14 min
23 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-19
8 min
23 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-20
28 min
23 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-22
7 min
22 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-23
13 min
17 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-26
24 min
5 min
-19 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-29
19 min
33 min
14 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-30
14 min
9 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-02
10 min
5 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-03
18 min
11 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-04
13 min
10 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-05
14 min
20 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-06
23 min
14 min
-9 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-11
16 min
19 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-12
18 min
17 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-13
8 min
22 min
14 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-18
19 min
29 min
10 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-19
20 min
33 min
13 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-20
27 min
14 min
-13 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-21
23 min
15 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-22
27 min
15 min
-12 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-23
15 min
15 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-04-24
14 min
15 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-25
14 min
19 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-26
15 min
26 min
11 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-27
30 min
12 min
-18 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-02
9 min
18 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-03
21 min
31 min
10 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-04
7 min
18 min
11 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-09
35 min
20 min
-15 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-10
23 min
27 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-11
19 min
12 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-15
13 min
60 min
47 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-16
6 min
24 min
18 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-17
24 min
36 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-18
28 min
15 min
-13 min
Over-Predicted
Note the current date actual data will flucuate until after 7 PM local time.
Discovery Kingdom Accuracy Summary
Statistic Value
Correct Predictions
4
Under-Predictions
27
Over-Predictions
33
Average Error
7.6 minutes
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_05_28_PM / Model Type: V
Statistic Value
Average Daily Wait Time
14 minutes
Minimum Daily Wait Time
6 minutes
Maximum Daily Wait Time
35 minutes
Busiest Week
2025-10-20
Least Busy Week
2025-02-10
Number of Average Days
130
Number of Lower Wait Days
54
Number of Lowest Wait Days
1
Number of Higher Wait Days
50
Number of Highest Wait Days
12
Thrill Data Logo
As Featured In
Jeopardy  OC Register  Wall Street Journal  LA Times
Follow Us!
     
© Thrill Data LLC 2019-2025