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Home > Waits > Six Flags > Fiesta Texas > Crowd Calendars

Six Flags Fiesta Texas Crowd Calendar

Based on Predictive Modeling
Six Flags Fiesta Texas Crowd Calendar

Below is the 2025 predictive crowd calendar for Fiesta Texas. The general idea is is that higher wait times equals a busier park. This calendar is a predictive model of future wait times developed based on past data collections and factors derived by the Thrill Data team. Use this information to help guide decisions on time periods when to visit the park. The number shown in each calendar day box is the predicted average wait time for that date. Click on any date to see the specific wait times for the most recent occurence of that date.

Keep in mind that lower wait times do not indicate an empty park. It means that wait times are lower than other points in the year, but they may still be significant.

Below is a Predictive crowd calendar based on training models. Click the A above for a past-data Average crowd calendar.

2025 Fiesta Texas Predictive Crowd Calendar
Lowest
Lower
Average
Higher
Highest

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
Jan 01
6
Jan 02
2
Jan 03
4
Jan 04
Jan 05
5
Jan 06
Jan 07
3
Jan 08
Jan 09
9
Jan 10
Jan 11
3
Jan 12
2
Jan 13
Jan 14
Jan 15
Jan 16
7
Jan 17
7
Jan 18
8
Jan 19
3
Jan 20
4
Jan 21
Jan 22
5
Jan 23
4
Jan 24
3
Jan 25
4
Jan 26
3
Jan 27
Jan 28
Jan 29
9
Jan 30
8
Jan 31
8
Feb 01
3
Feb 02
2
Feb 03
Feb 04
3
Feb 05
Feb 06
3
Feb 07
3
Feb 08
7
Feb 09
5
Feb 10
Feb 11
Feb 12
Feb 13
Feb 14
Feb 15
Feb 16
2
Feb 17
6
Feb 18
Feb 19
Feb 20
Feb 21
9
Feb 22
9
Feb 23
Feb 24
Feb 25
8
Feb 26
Feb 27
7
Feb 28
3
Mar 01
4
Mar 02
Mar 03
Mar 04
Mar 05
18
Mar 06
18
Mar 07
17
Mar 08
23
Mar 09
14
Mar 10
15
Mar 11
11
Mar 12
23
Mar 13
21
Mar 14
25
Mar 15
29
Mar 16
24
Mar 17
7
Mar 18
22
Mar 19
18
Mar 20
11
Mar 21
11
Mar 22
Mar 23
Mar 24
Mar 25
13
Mar 26
16
Mar 27
14
Mar 28
10
Mar 29
27
Mar 30
12
Mar 31
8
Apr 01
2
Apr 02
7
Apr 03
11
Apr 04
3
Apr 05
13
Apr 06
Apr 07
9
Apr 08
13
Apr 09
20
Apr 10
10
Apr 11
4
Apr 12
5
Apr 13
13
Apr 14
5
Apr 15
20
Apr 16
21
Apr 17
8
Apr 18
17
Apr 19
9
Apr 20
9
Apr 21
8
Apr 22
Apr 23
18
Apr 24
9
Apr 25
5
Apr 26
9
Apr 27
9
Apr 28
8
Apr 29
Apr 30
19
May 01
12
May 02
2
May 03
8
May 04
10
May 05
6
May 06
12
May 07
May 08
4
May 09
4
May 10
9
May 11
6
May 12
6
May 13
11
May 14
May 15
15
May 16
11
May 17
13
May 18
12
May 19
2
May 20
12
May 21
15
May 22
8
May 23
11
May 24
15
May 25
11
May 26
12
May 27
12
May 28
12
May 29
9
May 30
6
May 31
5
Jun 01
6
Jun 02
5
Jun 03
Jun 04
3
Jun 05
2
Jun 06
3
Jun 07
5
Jun 08
7
Jun 09
5
Jun 10
9
Jun 11
4
Jun 12
4
Jun 13
3
Jun 14
4
Jun 15
8
Jun 16
8
Jun 17
4
Jun 18
4
Jun 19
4
Jun 20
4
Jun 21
8
Jun 22
11
Jun 23
6
Jun 24
3
Jun 25
3
Jun 26
8
Jun 27
5
Jun 28
9
Jun 29
10
Jun 30
8
Jul 01
8
Jul 02
8
Jul 03
11
Jul 04
11
Jul 05
20
Jul 06
8
Jul 07
4
Jul 08
7
Jul 09
4
Jul 10
8
Jul 11
4
Jul 12
7
Jul 13
12
Jul 14
5
Jul 15
10
Jul 16
9
Jul 17
4
Jul 18
10
Jul 19
16
Jul 20
10
Jul 21
8
Jul 22
5
Jul 23
2
Jul 24
5
Jul 25
6
Jul 26
8
Jul 27
10
Jul 28
4
Jul 29
10
Jul 30
5
Jul 31
7
Aug 01
4
Aug 02
5
Aug 03
7
Aug 04
5
Aug 05
5
Aug 06
4
Aug 07
5
Aug 08
2
Aug 09
5
Aug 10
10
Aug 11
4
Aug 12
4
Aug 13
7
Aug 14
5
Aug 15
7
Aug 16
14
Aug 17
7
Aug 18
2
Aug 19
4
Aug 20
5
Aug 21
4
Aug 22
10
Aug 23
10
Aug 24
5
Aug 25
Aug 26
3
Aug 27
3
Aug 28
3
Aug 29
4
Aug 30
Aug 31
12
Sep 01
13
Sep 02
6
Sep 03
9
Sep 04
9
Sep 05
6
Sep 06
7
Sep 07
Sep 08
Sep 09
4
Sep 10
6
Sep 11
4
Sep 12
2
Sep 13
4
Sep 14
Sep 15
Sep 16
5
Sep 17
6
Sep 18
8
Sep 19
8
Sep 20
Sep 21
Sep 22
2
Sep 23
3
Sep 24
7
Sep 25
5
Sep 26
6
Sep 27
Sep 28
Sep 29
8
Sep 30
4
Oct 01
9
Oct 02
7
Oct 03
5
Oct 04
9
Oct 05
11
Oct 06
5
Oct 07
5
Oct 08
13
Oct 09
9
Oct 10
6
Oct 11
6
Oct 12
Oct 13
9
Oct 14
9
Oct 15
8
Oct 16
5
Oct 17
7
Oct 18
3
Oct 19
Oct 20
4
Oct 21
Oct 22
24
Oct 23
8
Oct 24
2
Oct 25
4
Oct 26
23
Oct 27
Oct 28
Oct 29
Oct 30
7
Oct 31
13
Nov 01
Nov 02
Nov 03
Nov 04
Nov 05
Nov 06
4
Nov 07
4
Nov 08
9
Nov 09
Nov 10
7
Nov 11
Nov 12
5
Nov 13
3
Nov 14
3
Nov 15
Nov 16
Nov 17
Nov 18
Nov 19
Nov 20
4
Nov 21
9
Nov 22
8
Nov 23
8
Nov 24
7
Nov 25
7
Nov 26
7
Nov 27
9
Nov 28
8
Nov 29
Nov 30
9
Dec 01
6
Dec 02
Dec 03
5
Dec 04
5
Dec 05
3
Dec 06
3
Dec 07
Dec 08
Dec 09
Dec 10
6
Dec 11
4
Dec 12
9
Dec 13
6
Dec 14
Dec 15
Dec 16
Dec 17
7
Dec 18
3
Dec 19
3
Dec 20
10
Dec 21
5
Dec 22
8
Dec 23
8
Dec 24
Dec 25
Dec 26
13
Dec 27
23
Dec 28
17
Dec 29
12
Dec 30
15
Dec 31
17
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_04_28_PM / Model Type: V
Like weather forecasts, there are different crowd calendar modeling techniques, and predictions are updated as new data becomes available. Most updates are to account for upcoming park hours, the weather forecast, and the attraction refurbishment schedule. Click any of the links below to see the Fiesta Texas crowd calendar results for a different or older model. Each model tracks its own accuracy and most models are identified by the time they were created. Click the check mark in the compare column to compare the currently viewed model (2024-12-12_04_28_PM Type V ) to the respective model.
Fiesta Texas Models
Model ID Model Type Average Error Compare
A
N/A
C
3.9 minutes
B
3.5 minutes
D
3.7 minutes
Training Error
3.5
Measured Error
6.2
The predicted wait times are expected to fall within +/- 3.5 minutes of the value shown on the calendar based on the model's training test data set. Larger differences can occur, particularly for dates farther in the future. The current calendar error is +/- 6.2 minutes based on predictions compared to measured wait times.
The table below compares the predicted wait times with the actual measured wait times. It shows how accurate or not the model was each day.
Date Prediction Actual Delta Comment
2025-01-01
6 min
8 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-02
2 min
9 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-03
4 min
13 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-04
4 min
16 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-05
5 min
13 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-09
9 min
18 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-11
3 min
3 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-01-12
2 min
2 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-01-13
4 min
2 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-14
5 min
2 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-15
7 min
2 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-16
7 min
2 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-17
7 min
6 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-18
8 min
5 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-19
3 min
7 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-20
4 min
2 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-21
2 min
2 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-01-22
5 min
2 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-23
4 min
2 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-24
3 min
2 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-25
4 min
3 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-31
8 min
5 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-01
3 min
10 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-02
2 min
5 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-05
3 min
5 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-06
3 min
5 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-07
3 min
5 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-08
7 min
7 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-02-09
5 min
5 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-02-13
6 min
2 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-14
6 min
2 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-15
3 min
7 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-16
2 min
10 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-17
6 min
7 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-20
9 min
5 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-23
9 min
2 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-01
4 min
17 min
13 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-02
6 min
12 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-08
23 min
22 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-09
14 min
18 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-10
15 min
14 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-11
11 min
17 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-12
23 min
20 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-13
21 min
7 min
-14 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-14
25 min
27 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-15
29 min
46 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-16
24 min
19 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-17
7 min
24 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-20
11 min
60 min
49 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-21
11 min
51 min
40 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-22
12 min
24 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-23
6 min
9 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-29
27 min
29 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-30
12 min
17 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-05
13 min
20 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-06
7 min
9 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-12
5 min
22 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-13
13 min
13 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-04-17
8 min
2 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-18
17 min
21 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-19
9 min
24 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-20
9 min
11 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-24
9 min
3 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
Note the current date actual data will flucuate until after 7 PM local time.
Fiesta Texas Accuracy Summary
Statistic Value
Correct Predictions
6
Under-Predictions
34
Over-Predictions
23
Average Error
6.2 minutes
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_04_28_PM / Model Type: V
Statistic Value
Average Daily Wait Time
20 minutes
Minimum Daily Wait Time
2 minutes
Maximum Daily Wait Time
29 minutes
Busiest Week
2025-03-10
Least Busy Week
2025-02-10
Number of Average Days
140
Number of Lower Wait Days
0
Number of Lowest Wait Days
14
Number of Higher Wait Days
18
Number of Highest Wait Days
16
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