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Home > Waits > Six Flags > Magic Mountain > Crowd Calendars

Six Flags Magic Mountain Crowd Calendar

Based on Predictive Modeling
Six Flags Magic Mountain Crowd Calendar

Below is the 2025 predictive crowd calendar for Magic Mountain. The general idea is is that higher wait times equals a busier park. This calendar is a predictive model of future wait times developed based on past data collections and factors derived by the Thrill Data team. Use this information to help guide decisions on time periods when to visit the park. The number shown in each calendar day box is the predicted average wait time for that date. Click on any date to see the specific wait times for the most recent occurence of that date.

Keep in mind that lower wait times do not indicate an empty park. It means that wait times are lower than other points in the year, but they may still be significant.

Below is a Predictive crowd calendar based on training models. Click the A above for a past-data Average crowd calendar.

2025 Magic Mountain Predictive Crowd Calendar
Lowest
Lower
Average
Higher
Highest

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
Jan 01
28
Jan 02
31
Jan 03
25
Jan 04
28
Jan 05
20
Jan 06
25
Jan 07
26
Jan 08
18
Jan 09
16
Jan 10
13
Jan 11
17
Jan 12
14
Jan 13
18
Jan 14
15
Jan 15
24
Jan 16
16
Jan 17
15
Jan 18
16
Jan 19
12
Jan 20
15
Jan 21
20
Jan 22
20
Jan 23
19
Jan 24
9
Jan 25
15
Jan 26
12
Jan 27
14
Jan 28
20
Jan 29
13
Jan 30
12
Jan 31
9
Feb 01
14
Feb 02
10
Feb 03
12
Feb 04
12
Feb 05
13
Feb 06
15
Feb 07
10
Feb 08
22
Feb 09
17
Feb 10
25
Feb 11
18
Feb 12
11
Feb 13
11
Feb 14
18
Feb 15
18
Feb 16
19
Feb 17
27
Feb 18
27
Feb 19
25
Feb 20
28
Feb 21
26
Feb 22
22
Feb 23
18
Feb 24
13
Feb 25
11
Feb 26
19
Feb 27
19
Feb 28
11
Mar 01
15
Mar 02
11
Mar 03
11
Mar 04
19
Mar 05
13
Mar 06
16
Mar 07
10
Mar 08
19
Mar 09
17
Mar 10
10
Mar 11
17
Mar 12
24
Mar 13
19
Mar 14
15
Mar 15
18
Mar 16
27
Mar 17
24
Mar 18
26
Mar 19
21
Mar 20
14
Mar 21
18
Mar 22
20
Mar 23
23
Mar 24
22
Mar 25
27
Mar 26
27
Mar 27
25
Mar 28
24
Mar 29
27
Mar 30
16
Mar 31
21
Apr 01
28
Apr 02
25
Apr 03
31
Apr 04
26
Apr 05
26
Apr 06
32
Apr 07
25
Apr 08
24
Apr 09
24
Apr 10
21
Apr 11
22
Apr 12
24
Apr 13
21
Apr 14
31
Apr 15
30
Apr 16
24
Apr 17
20
Apr 18
25
Apr 19
19
Apr 20
21
Apr 21
22
Apr 22
21
Apr 23
31
Apr 24
23
Apr 25
11
Apr 26
18
Apr 27
23
Apr 28
18
Apr 29
27
Apr 30
23
May 01
21
May 02
13
May 03
19
May 04
15
May 05
15
May 06
23
May 07
24
May 08
17
May 09
14
May 10
21
May 11
20
May 12
15
May 13
20
May 14
19
May 15
12
May 16
14
May 17
18
May 18
21
May 19
26
May 20
33
May 21
36
May 22
25
May 23
28
May 24
32
May 25
45
May 26
44
May 27
39
May 28
31
May 29
36
May 30
31
May 31
31
Jun 01
31
Jun 02
27
Jun 03
32
Jun 04
32
Jun 05
30
Jun 06
27
Jun 07
27
Jun 08
32
Jun 09
32
Jun 10
39
Jun 11
31
Jun 12
31
Jun 13
35
Jun 14
31
Jun 15
29
Jun 16
26
Jun 17
38
Jun 18
38
Jun 19
47
Jun 20
31
Jun 21
38
Jun 22
29
Jun 23
29
Jun 24
30
Jun 25
34
Jun 26
29
Jun 27
29
Jun 28
31
Jun 29
27
Jun 30
27
Jul 01
30
Jul 02
30
Jul 03
32
Jul 04
28
Jul 05
29
Jul 06
29
Jul 07
28
Jul 08
30
Jul 09
33
Jul 10
27
Jul 11
26
Jul 12
31
Jul 13
30
Jul 14
30
Jul 15
30
Jul 16
32
Jul 17
29
Jul 18
28
Jul 19
29
Jul 20
26
Jul 21
26
Jul 22
27
Jul 23
29
Jul 24
26
Jul 25
25
Jul 26
27
Jul 27
28
Jul 28
28
Jul 29
28
Jul 30
28
Jul 31
29
Aug 01
27
Aug 02
27
Aug 03
27
Aug 04
28
Aug 05
25
Aug 06
28
Aug 07
28
Aug 08
27
Aug 09
27
Aug 10
28
Aug 11
24
Aug 12
26
Aug 13
23
Aug 14
20
Aug 15
19
Aug 16
24
Aug 17
21
Aug 18
18
Aug 19
23
Aug 20
24
Aug 21
24
Aug 22
22
Aug 23
23
Aug 24
24
Aug 25
23
Aug 26
21
Aug 27
27
Aug 28
16
Aug 29
14
Aug 30
27
Aug 31
28
Sep 01
27
Sep 02
26
Sep 03
24
Sep 04
24
Sep 05
23
Sep 06
18
Sep 07
18
Sep 08
16
Sep 09
15
Sep 10
24
Sep 11
19
Sep 12
18
Sep 13
22
Sep 14
20
Sep 15
21
Sep 16
28
Sep 17
29
Sep 18
20
Sep 19
18
Sep 20
22
Sep 21
26
Sep 22
19
Sep 23
24
Sep 24
26
Sep 25
25
Sep 26
26
Sep 27
20
Sep 28
19
Sep 29
20
Sep 30
25
Oct 01
28
Oct 02
26
Oct 03
19
Oct 04
28
Oct 05
31
Oct 06
20
Oct 07
28
Oct 08
29
Oct 09
29
Oct 10
20
Oct 11
22
Oct 12
25
Oct 13
30
Oct 14
20
Oct 15
35
Oct 16
28
Oct 17
17
Oct 18
26
Oct 19
27
Oct 20
24
Oct 21
30
Oct 22
42
Oct 23
27
Oct 24
17
Oct 25
26
Oct 26
32
Oct 27
28
Oct 28
35
Oct 29
43
Oct 30
26
Oct 31
23
Nov 01
31
Nov 02
45
Nov 03
37
Nov 04
26
Nov 05
31
Nov 06
22
Nov 07
22
Nov 08
31
Nov 09
42
Nov 10
43
Nov 11
49
Nov 12
41
Nov 13
25
Nov 14
15
Nov 15
25
Nov 16
42
Nov 17
16
Nov 18
18
Nov 19
40
Nov 20
30
Nov 21
28
Nov 22
28
Nov 23
29
Nov 24
37
Nov 25
34
Nov 26
34
Nov 27
32
Nov 28
35
Nov 29
32
Nov 30
30
Dec 01
21
Dec 02
20
Dec 03
42
Dec 04
20
Dec 05
18
Dec 06
22
Dec 07
40
Dec 08
25
Dec 09
25
Dec 10
33
Dec 11
26
Dec 12
21
Dec 13
23
Dec 14
19
Dec 15
18
Dec 16
30
Dec 17
28
Dec 18
29
Dec 19
29
Dec 20
32
Dec 21
30
Dec 22
30
Dec 23
27
Dec 24
16
Dec 25
18
Dec 26
33
Dec 27
32
Dec 28
50
Dec 29
55
Dec 30
56
Dec 31
31
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_03_14_PM / Model Type: V
Like weather forecasts, there are different crowd calendar modeling techniques, and predictions are updated as new data becomes available. Most updates are to account for upcoming park hours, the weather forecast, and the attraction refurbishment schedule. Click any of the links below to see the Magic Mountain crowd calendar results for a different or older model. Each model tracks its own accuracy and most models are identified by the time they were created. Click the check mark in the compare column to compare the currently viewed model (2024-12-12_03_14_PM Type V ) to the respective model.
Magic Mountain Models
Model ID Model Type Average Error Compare
A
N/A
D
4.5 minutes
B
4.5 minutes
C
4.7 minutes
Training Error
4.4
Measured Error
9.9
The predicted wait times are expected to fall within +/- 4.4 minutes of the value shown on the calendar based on the model's training test data set. Larger differences can occur, particularly for dates farther in the future. The current calendar error is +/- 9.9 minutes based on predictions compared to measured wait times.
The table below compares the predicted wait times with the actual measured wait times. It shows how accurate or not the model was each day.
Date Prediction Actual Delta Comment
2025-01-01
28 min
32 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-02
31 min
52 min
21 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-03
25 min
42 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-04
28 min
57 min
29 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-05
20 min
21 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-06
25 min
17 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-07
26 min
9 min
-17 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-09
16 min
7 min
-9 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-10
13 min
6 min
-7 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-11
17 min
17 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-01-12
14 min
10 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-13
18 min
7 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-17
15 min
10 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-18
16 min
28 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-19
12 min
33 min
21 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-20
15 min
43 min
28 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-25
15 min
16 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-01-27
14 min
8 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-01-31
9 min
10 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-01
14 min
26 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-02
10 min
16 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-03
12 min
8 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-07
10 min
6 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-08
22 min
26 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-09
17 min
18 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-10
25 min
11 min
-14 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-14
18 min
10 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-15
18 min
36 min
18 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-16
19 min
41 min
22 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-17
27 min
43 min
16 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-19
25 min
28 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-21
26 min
22 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-02-22
22 min
36 min
14 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-23
18 min
27 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-02-24
13 min
13 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-02-28
11 min
14 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-01
15 min
39 min
24 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-02
11 min
23 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-03
11 min
14 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-07
10 min
17 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-08
19 min
41 min
22 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-09
17 min
31 min
14 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-10
10 min
15 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-13
19 min
8 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-15
18 min
51 min
33 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-16
27 min
33 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-17
24 min
20 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-18
26 min
28 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-19
21 min
22 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-20
14 min
20 min
6 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-21
18 min
35 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-22
20 min
55 min
35 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-23
23 min
32 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-24
22 min
20 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-25
27 min
23 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-26
27 min
23 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-27
25 min
24 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-28
24 min
27 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-29
27 min
46 min
19 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-30
16 min
35 min
19 min
Under-Predicted
2025-03-31
21 min
28 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-01
28 min
20 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-02
25 min
20 min
-5 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-03
31 min
23 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-04
26 min
24 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-05
26 min
50 min
24 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-06
32 min
28 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-07
25 min
19 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-08
24 min
12 min
-12 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-09
24 min
13 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-10
21 min
12 min
-9 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-11
22 min
19 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-12
24 min
41 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-13
21 min
33 min
12 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-14
31 min
35 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-15
30 min
31 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-16
24 min
39 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-17
20 min
38 min
18 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-18
25 min
42 min
17 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-19
19 min
46 min
27 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-20
21 min
28 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-21
22 min
24 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-22
21 min
15 min
-6 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-23
31 min
16 min
-15 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-24
23 min
32 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-25
11 min
25 min
14 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-26
18 min
41 min
23 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-27
23 min
27 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-28
18 min
15 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-29
27 min
12 min
-15 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-30
23 min
12 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-02
13 min
20 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-03
19 min
34 min
15 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-04
15 min
20 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-05
15 min
14 min
-1 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-06
23 min
10 min
-13 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-07
24 min
10 min
-14 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-09
14 min
19 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-10
21 min
22 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-11
20 min
12 min
-8 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-12
15 min
16 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
Note the current date actual data will flucuate until after 7 PM local time.
Magic Mountain Accuracy Summary
Statistic Value
Correct Predictions
2
Under-Predictions
61
Over-Predictions
38
Average Error
9.9 minutes
Calendar Version: 2024-12-12_03_14_PM / Model Type: V
Statistic Value
Average Daily Wait Time
20 minutes
Minimum Daily Wait Time
9 minutes
Maximum Daily Wait Time
56 minutes
Busiest Week
2025-12-29
Least Busy Week
2025-01-27
Number of Average Days
111
Number of Lower Wait Days
58
Number of Lowest Wait Days
2
Number of Higher Wait Days
22
Number of Highest Wait Days
15
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