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Home > Waits > Phantasialand > Phantasialand > Crowd Calendars

Phantasialand Crowd Calendar

Based on Predictive Modeling
Phantasialand Crowd Calendar

Below is the 2025 predictive crowd calendar for Phantasialand. The general idea is is that higher wait times equals a busier park. This calendar is a predictive model of future wait times developed based on past data collections and factors derived by the Thrill Data team. Use this information to help guide decisions on time periods when to visit the park. The number shown in each calendar day box is the predicted average wait time for that date. Click on any date to see the specific wait times for the most recent occurence of that date.

Keep in mind that lower wait times do not indicate an empty park. It means that wait times are lower than other points in the year, but they may still be significant.

Below is a Predictive crowd calendar based on training models. Click the A above for a past-data Average crowd calendar.

2025 Phantasialand Predictive Crowd Calendar
Lowest
Lower
Average
Higher
Highest

MONDAY TUESDAY WEDNESDAY THURSDAY FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
Jan 01
5
Jan 02
19
Jan 03
23
Jan 04
20
Jan 05
20
Jan 06
21
Jan 07
15
Jan 08
15
Jan 09
9
Jan 10
9
Jan 11
21
Jan 12
20
Jan 13
11
Jan 14
14
Jan 15
16
Jan 16
9
Jan 17
12
Jan 18
17
Jan 19
20
Jan 20
12
Jan 21
18
Jan 22
17
Jan 23
8
Jan 24
9
Jan 25
19
Jan 26
20
Jan 27
16
Jan 28
18
Jan 29
18
Jan 30
7
Jan 31
7
Feb 01
7
Feb 02
7
Feb 03
7
Feb 04
7
Feb 05
7
Feb 06
7
Feb 07
7
Feb 08
7
Feb 09
8
Feb 10
7
Feb 11
7
Feb 12
7
Feb 13
7
Feb 14
7
Feb 15
8
Feb 16
7
Feb 17
7
Feb 18
7
Feb 19
7
Feb 20
7
Feb 21
7
Feb 22
8
Feb 23
8
Feb 24
7
Feb 25
7
Feb 26
7
Feb 27
7
Feb 28
7
Mar 01
8
Mar 02
8
Mar 03
7
Mar 04
7
Mar 05
7
Mar 06
7
Mar 07
7
Mar 08
8
Mar 09
8
Mar 10
8
Mar 11
7
Mar 12
7
Mar 13
7
Mar 14
8
Mar 15
16
Mar 16
8
Mar 17
8
Mar 18
8
Mar 19
9
Mar 20
9
Mar 21
9
Mar 22
8
Mar 23
8
Mar 24
8
Mar 25
8
Mar 26
8
Mar 27
8
Mar 28
18
Mar 29
14
Mar 30
15
Mar 31
10
Apr 01
9
Apr 02
14
Apr 03
11
Apr 04
11
Apr 05
14
Apr 06
28
Apr 07
18
Apr 08
16
Apr 09
11
Apr 10
10
Apr 11
13
Apr 12
16
Apr 13
13
Apr 14
12
Apr 15
17
Apr 16
11
Apr 17
11
Apr 18
10
Apr 19
13
Apr 20
15
Apr 21
14
Apr 22
13
Apr 23
10
Apr 24
10
Apr 25
9
Apr 26
9
Apr 27
13
Apr 28
10
Apr 29
13
Apr 30
16
May 01
13
May 02
11
May 03
10
May 04
12
May 05
11
May 06
8
May 07
12
May 08
12
May 09
12
May 10
19
May 11
12
May 12
8
May 13
12
May 14
11
May 15
11
May 16
10
May 17
12
May 18
13
May 19
18
May 20
14
May 21
14
May 22
12
May 23
13
May 24
12
May 25
14
May 26
15
May 27
15
May 28
14
May 29
16
May 30
18
May 31
14
Jun 01
14
Jun 02
12
Jun 03
12
Jun 04
11
Jun 05
12
Jun 06
16
Jun 07
16
Jun 08
16
Jun 09
14
Jun 10
12
Jun 11
12
Jun 12
13
Jun 13
18
Jun 14
15
Jun 15
14
Jun 16
13
Jun 17
16
Jun 18
12
Jun 19
17
Jun 20
16
Jun 21
11
Jun 22
13
Jun 23
15
Jun 24
13
Jun 25
13
Jun 26
12
Jun 27
14
Jun 28
10
Jun 29
14
Jun 30
11
Jul 01
16
Jul 02
15
Jul 03
16
Jul 04
16
Jul 05
12
Jul 06
19
Jul 07
17
Jul 08
16
Jul 09
13
Jul 10
13
Jul 11
13
Jul 12
11
Jul 13
18
Jul 14
14
Jul 15
14
Jul 16
15
Jul 17
15
Jul 18
14
Jul 19
14
Jul 20
18
Jul 21
13
Jul 22
16
Jul 23
13
Jul 24
16
Jul 25
16
Jul 26
14
Jul 27
15
Jul 28
15
Jul 29
15
Jul 30
16
Jul 31
14
Aug 01
19
Aug 02
17
Aug 03
24
Aug 04
16
Aug 05
21
Aug 06
20
Aug 07
19
Aug 08
24
Aug 09
16
Aug 10
24
Aug 11
18
Aug 12
17
Aug 13
20
Aug 14
17
Aug 15
23
Aug 16
22
Aug 17
21
Aug 18
15
Aug 19
24
Aug 20
18
Aug 21
19
Aug 22
17
Aug 23
16
Aug 24
21
Aug 25
11
Aug 26
18
Aug 27
13
Aug 28
14
Aug 29
14
Aug 30
15
Aug 31
16
Sep 01
12
Sep 02
18
Sep 03
19
Sep 04
12
Sep 05
11
Sep 06
10
Sep 07
20
Sep 08
11
Sep 09
16
Sep 10
10
Sep 11
10
Sep 12
8
Sep 13
9
Sep 14
15
Sep 15
11
Sep 16
14
Sep 17
10
Sep 18
9
Sep 19
9
Sep 20
10
Sep 21
17
Sep 22
10
Sep 23
12
Sep 24
9
Sep 25
8
Sep 26
8
Sep 27
16
Sep 28
14
Sep 29
9
Sep 30
11
Oct 01
9
Oct 02
15
Oct 03
10
Oct 04
14
Oct 05
15
Oct 06
9
Oct 07
10
Oct 08
8
Oct 09
8
Oct 10
8
Oct 11
10
Oct 12
12
Oct 13
10
Oct 14
7
Oct 15
8
Oct 16
9
Oct 17
8
Oct 18
7
Oct 19
9
Oct 20
7
Oct 21
9
Oct 22
10
Oct 23
11
Oct 24
12
Oct 25
9
Oct 26
9
Oct 27
9
Oct 28
10
Oct 29
10
Oct 30
10
Oct 31
12
Nov 01
14
Nov 02
15
Nov 03
9
Nov 04
8
Nov 05
6
Nov 06
6
Nov 07
6
Nov 08
6
Nov 09
8
Nov 10
7
Nov 11
8
Nov 12
6
Nov 13
6
Nov 14
6
Nov 15
6
Nov 16
16
Nov 17
17
Nov 18
14
Nov 19
17
Nov 20
14
Nov 21
9
Nov 22
12
Nov 23
14
Nov 24
16
Nov 25
14
Nov 26
16
Nov 27
14
Nov 28
12
Nov 29
15
Nov 30
17
Dec 01
12
Dec 02
15
Dec 03
18
Dec 04
13
Dec 05
8
Dec 06
9
Dec 07
14
Dec 08
12
Dec 09
11
Dec 10
15
Dec 11
11
Dec 12
9
Dec 13
9
Dec 14
15
Dec 15
14
Dec 16
11
Dec 17
14
Dec 18
11
Dec 19
10
Dec 20
10
Dec 21
14
Dec 22
14
Dec 23
16
Dec 24
7
Dec 25
7
Dec 26
15
Dec 27
20
Dec 28
22
Dec 29
20
Dec 30
17
Dec 31
14
Calendar Version: 2025-03-07_11_21_PM / Model Type: V
Like weather forecasts, there are different crowd calendar modeling techniques, and predictions are updated as new data becomes available. Most updates are to account for upcoming park hours, the weather forecast, and the attraction refurbishment schedule. Click any of the links below to see the Phantasialand crowd calendar results for a different or older model. Each model tracks its own accuracy and most models are identified by the time they were created. Click the check mark in the compare column to compare the currently viewed model (2025-03-07_11_21_PM Type V ) to the respective model.
Phantasialand Models
Model ID Model Type Average Error Compare
A
N/A
D
1.9 minutes
B
1.8 minutes
C
1.9 minutes
Training Error
1.8
Measured Error
4.2
The predicted wait times are expected to fall within +/- 1.8 minutes of the value shown on the calendar based on the model's training test data set. Larger differences can occur, particularly for dates farther in the future. The current calendar error is +/- 4.2 minutes based on predictions compared to measured wait times.
The table below compares the predicted wait times with the actual measured wait times. It shows how accurate or not the model was each day.
Date Prediction Actual Delta Comment
2025-03-11
7 min
5 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-12
7 min
5 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-13
7 min
5 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-14
8 min
5 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-15
16 min
5 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-16
8 min
5 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-17
8 min
5 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-03-31
10 min
10 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-04-05
14 min
18 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-06
28 min
17 min
-11 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-07
18 min
22 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-08
16 min
19 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-09
11 min
22 min
11 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-10
10 min
18 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-11
13 min
15 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-12
16 min
21 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-13
13 min
11 min
-2 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-14
12 min
21 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-15
17 min
18 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-16
11 min
15 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-17
11 min
14 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-18
10 min
13 min
3 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-19
13 min
18 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-20
15 min
12 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-21
14 min
11 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-04-22
13 min
15 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-23
10 min
14 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-24
10 min
11 min
1 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-25
9 min
11 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-26
9 min
16 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-27
13 min
15 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-28
10 min
19 min
9 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-29
13 min
18 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-04-30
16 min
18 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-01
13 min
17 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-02
11 min
19 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-03
10 min
17 min
7 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-04
12 min
14 min
2 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-05
11 min
19 min
8 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-06
8 min
13 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-07
12 min
9 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-08
12 min
12 min
0 min
Predicted
2025-05-09
12 min
17 min
5 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-10
19 min
15 min
-4 min
Over-Predicted
2025-05-11
12 min
16 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-12
8 min
12 min
4 min
Under-Predicted
2025-05-13
12 min
9 min
-3 min
Over-Predicted
Note the current date actual data will flucuate until after 7 PM local time.
Phantasialand Accuracy Summary
Statistic Value
Correct Predictions
2
Under-Predictions
31
Over-Predictions
14
Average Error
4.2 minutes
Calendar Version: 2025-03-07_11_21_PM / Model Type: V
Statistic Value
Average Daily Wait Time
10 minutes
Minimum Daily Wait Time
5 minutes
Maximum Daily Wait Time
28 minutes
Busiest Week
2025-08-04
Least Busy Week
2025-11-03
Number of Average Days
107
Number of Lower Wait Days
82
Number of Lowest Wait Days
1
Number of Higher Wait Days
38
Number of Highest Wait Days
9
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